Chagas disease (CD) is an emerging public health concern in Europe. In non-endemic countries, congenital transmission is the main route of new infections. Italy is the second-largest host country in Europe for Latin American migrants and the prevalence of the disease is estimated around 3.5%. The aim is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a congenital CD screening program in pregnant women at risk of infection living in Italy and their newborns. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis from the perspective of the Italian National Health Service, comparing a screening scenario with a no-screening scenario. A Bayesian decision tree model with a lifetime horizon was developed. In the base-case analysis, the screening strategy yielded an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €15,193 per quality-adjusted life year gained (95% CI: €14,885–€15,552), falling well within the accepted cost-effectiveness threshold (€30,000–€50,000) in Italy. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings. Here we show that screening for congenital CD is a cost-effective strategy that improves health outcomes and aligns with international public health priorities. Our findings support the implementation of a national screening program integrated within existing maternal care pathways, contributing to the prevention of neglected tropical diseases and the promotion of migrant health.

Marraffa, P., Dentato, M., Nurchis, M. C., Angheben, A., Olivo, L., Barbera, G., Damiani, G., Gianino, M. M., Cost-effectiveness analysis of screening for congenital Chagas disease in a non-endemic area, <<NATURE COMMUNICATIONS>>, 2025; 16 (1): N/A-N/A. [doi:10.1038/s41467-025-63760-0] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/325583]

Cost-effectiveness analysis of screening for congenital Chagas disease in a non-endemic area

Nurchis, Mario Cesare;Olivo, Lia;Damiani, Gianfranco;Gianino, Maria Michela
2025

Abstract

Chagas disease (CD) is an emerging public health concern in Europe. In non-endemic countries, congenital transmission is the main route of new infections. Italy is the second-largest host country in Europe for Latin American migrants and the prevalence of the disease is estimated around 3.5%. The aim is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a congenital CD screening program in pregnant women at risk of infection living in Italy and their newborns. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis from the perspective of the Italian National Health Service, comparing a screening scenario with a no-screening scenario. A Bayesian decision tree model with a lifetime horizon was developed. In the base-case analysis, the screening strategy yielded an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €15,193 per quality-adjusted life year gained (95% CI: €14,885–€15,552), falling well within the accepted cost-effectiveness threshold (€30,000–€50,000) in Italy. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings. Here we show that screening for congenital CD is a cost-effective strategy that improves health outcomes and aligns with international public health priorities. Our findings support the implementation of a national screening program integrated within existing maternal care pathways, contributing to the prevention of neglected tropical diseases and the promotion of migrant health.
2025
Inglese
Marraffa, P., Dentato, M., Nurchis, M. C., Angheben, A., Olivo, L., Barbera, G., Damiani, G., Gianino, M. M., Cost-effectiveness analysis of screening for congenital Chagas disease in a non-endemic area, <<NATURE COMMUNICATIONS>>, 2025; 16 (1): N/A-N/A. [doi:10.1038/s41467-025-63760-0] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/325583]
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