The market demand for the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) is rather small. This is puzzling, as we show that an agent, who derives utility from real wealth and dynamically invests into multiple asset classes over a 30-year horizon, incurs a certainty equivalent loss of 1.6% per annum from not investing in inflation-indexed bonds. However, if the investor suffers from money illusion, the perceived loss is only 0.5% per annum. Furthermore, the perceived loss is totally negligible for an unsophisticated money-illusioned investor ignoring the time variation of risk premia. Money illusion causes significant portfolio shifts from inflation-indexed toward nominal bonds, with little effects on equity allocations, contributing to the low market demand for TIPS.

Lioui, A., Tarelli, A., Money Illusion and TIPS Demand, <<JOURNAL OF MONEY, CREDIT, AND BANKING>>, 2023; 55 (1): 171-214. [doi:10.1111/jmcb.12923] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/200829]

Money Illusion and TIPS Demand

Tarelli, Andrea
Ultimo
2023

Abstract

The market demand for the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) is rather small. This is puzzling, as we show that an agent, who derives utility from real wealth and dynamically invests into multiple asset classes over a 30-year horizon, incurs a certainty equivalent loss of 1.6% per annum from not investing in inflation-indexed bonds. However, if the investor suffers from money illusion, the perceived loss is only 0.5% per annum. Furthermore, the perceived loss is totally negligible for an unsophisticated money-illusioned investor ignoring the time variation of risk premia. Money illusion causes significant portfolio shifts from inflation-indexed toward nominal bonds, with little effects on equity allocations, contributing to the low market demand for TIPS.
2023
AREA13 - SCIENZE ECONOMICHE E STATISTICHE
Articolo su rivista presente in almeno un database (EconLit, MatScinet, Scopus, Web of Knowledge, Publish or perish)
Inglese
Articolo in rivista
Inglese
money illusion
portfolio choice
term structure of interest rates
TIPS
Settore SECS-S/06 - METODI MATEMATICI DELL'ECONOMIA E DELLE SCIENZE ATTUARIALI E FINANZIARIE
John Wiley and Sons Inc
55
1
2023
171
214
44
Esperti anonimi
Articolo su rivista scientifica / specializzata
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
Lioui, A., Tarelli, A., Money Illusion and TIPS Demand, <<JOURNAL OF MONEY, CREDIT, AND BANKING>>, 2023; 55 (1): 171-214. [doi:10.1111/jmcb.12923] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/200829]
open
262
Lioui, A.; Tarelli, Andrea
2
art_per_29
03. Contributo in rivista::Articolo in rivista, Nota a sentenza
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10807/200829
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