The available knowledge on black-rot of grape was retrieved from literature, analyzed, and synthesized to develop a mechanistic model of the life cycle of the pathogen (Guignardia bidwelii) based on the systems analysis. An analysis of published, quantitative information was conducted to develop a mechanistic model driven by weather and vine phenology. The model was then evaluated for its ability to represent the real system and its usefulness for understanding black-rot epidemics by using three typical epidemics. Finally, weaknesses in our knowledge are discussed.
Rossi, V., Onesti, G., Legler, S., Caffi, T., Use of systems analysis to develop plant disease models based on literature data: grape black-rot as a case-study, <<EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF PLANT PATHOLOGY>>, 2015; 141 (3): 427-444. [doi:10.1007/s10658-014-0553-z] [http://hdl.handle.net/10807/69949]
Use of systems analysis to develop plant disease models based on literature data: grape black-rot as a case-study
Rossi, Vittorio;Onesti, Giovanni;Caffi, Tito
2015
Abstract
The available knowledge on black-rot of grape was retrieved from literature, analyzed, and synthesized to develop a mechanistic model of the life cycle of the pathogen (Guignardia bidwelii) based on the systems analysis. An analysis of published, quantitative information was conducted to develop a mechanistic model driven by weather and vine phenology. The model was then evaluated for its ability to represent the real system and its usefulness for understanding black-rot epidemics by using three typical epidemics. Finally, weaknesses in our knowledge are discussed.
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