I study the exact percentage price reaction (in absolute value) to changes in the short rate for long-lived assets in a tractable long-run risk equilibrium model with fluctuating expected growth rates. Calibration reveals that, under time-additive expected utility, perpetuities with constant coupons exhibit a larger effective duration than the absolute value of the stock price logarithmic derivative due to a mild positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. Conversely, under Epstein-Zin preferences with unit elasticity of intertemporal substitution, the perpetuity’s effective duration is smaller due to a pronounced positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. My findings suggest that strong persistence in fundamentals contributes to non-linearities in the equilibrium log prices of long-lived assets. (JEL Classification Code: G12). Keywords: equilibrium short rate, long-run risk, effective duration, stock pricing, perpetuity/consol pricing.

Sbuelz, A., Equilibrium asset pricing with short rate risk, <<DECISIONS IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE>>, 2025; 48 (1): 93-125. [doi:10.1007/s10203-024-00442-4] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/347076]

Equilibrium asset pricing with short rate risk

Sbuelz, Alessandro
2025

Abstract

I study the exact percentage price reaction (in absolute value) to changes in the short rate for long-lived assets in a tractable long-run risk equilibrium model with fluctuating expected growth rates. Calibration reveals that, under time-additive expected utility, perpetuities with constant coupons exhibit a larger effective duration than the absolute value of the stock price logarithmic derivative due to a mild positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. Conversely, under Epstein-Zin preferences with unit elasticity of intertemporal substitution, the perpetuity’s effective duration is smaller due to a pronounced positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. My findings suggest that strong persistence in fundamentals contributes to non-linearities in the equilibrium log prices of long-lived assets. (JEL Classification Code: G12). Keywords: equilibrium short rate, long-run risk, effective duration, stock pricing, perpetuity/consol pricing.
2025
Inglese
Sbuelz, A., Equilibrium asset pricing with short rate risk, <<DECISIONS IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE>>, 2025; 48 (1): 93-125. [doi:10.1007/s10203-024-00442-4] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/347076]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10807/347076
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