Researchers are increasingly exploiting web-searches to study phenomena for which timely and high-frequency data are not readily available. We propose a data-driven procedure which, exploiting machine learning tech- niques, solves the issue of identifying the list of queries linked to the phenomenon of interest, even in a cross- country setting. Queries are then aggregated in an indicator which can be used for causal inference. We apply this procedure to construct a search-based unemployment index and study the effect of lock-downs during the first wave of the covid-19 pandemic. In a Difference-in-Differences analysis, we show that the indicator rose significantly and persistently in the aftermath of lock-downs. This is not the case when using unprocessed (raw) web search data, which might return a partial figure of the labour market dynamics following lock-downs.
Caperna, G., Colagrossi, M., Geraci, A., Mazzarella, G., A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic, <<LABOUR ECONOMICS>>, 2022; (74): 1-12. [doi:10.1016/j.labeco.2021.102097] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/337746]
A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic
Colagrossi, Marco
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2022
Abstract
Researchers are increasingly exploiting web-searches to study phenomena for which timely and high-frequency data are not readily available. We propose a data-driven procedure which, exploiting machine learning tech- niques, solves the issue of identifying the list of queries linked to the phenomenon of interest, even in a cross- country setting. Queries are then aggregated in an indicator which can be used for causal inference. We apply this procedure to construct a search-based unemployment index and study the effect of lock-downs during the first wave of the covid-19 pandemic. In a Difference-in-Differences analysis, we show that the indicator rose significantly and persistently in the aftermath of lock-downs. This is not the case when using unprocessed (raw) web search data, which might return a partial figure of the labour market dynamics following lock-downs.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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