I study the exact percentage price reaction (in absolute value) to changes in the short rate for long-lived assets in a tractable long-run risk equilibrium model with fluctuating expected growth rates. Calibration reveals that, under time-additive expected utility, perpetuities with constant coupons exhibit a larger effective duration than the absolute value of the stock price logarithmic derivative due to a mild positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. Conversely, under Epstein-Zin preferences with unit elasticity of intertemporal substitution, the perpetuity’s effective duration is smaller due to a pronounced positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. My findings suggest that strong persistence in fundamentals contributes to non-linearities in the equilibrium log prices of long-lived assets. (JEL Classification Code: G12). Keywords: equilibrium short rate, long-run risk, effective duration, stock pricing, perpetuity/consol pricing.

Sbuelz, A., Equilibrium asset pricing with short rate risk, <<DECISIONS IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE>>, Online first article; (Online first article): N/A-N/A. [doi:10.1007/s10203-024-00442-4] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/276977]

Equilibrium asset pricing with short rate risk

Sbuelz, Alessandro
Primo
2024

Abstract

I study the exact percentage price reaction (in absolute value) to changes in the short rate for long-lived assets in a tractable long-run risk equilibrium model with fluctuating expected growth rates. Calibration reveals that, under time-additive expected utility, perpetuities with constant coupons exhibit a larger effective duration than the absolute value of the stock price logarithmic derivative due to a mild positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. Conversely, under Epstein-Zin preferences with unit elasticity of intertemporal substitution, the perpetuity’s effective duration is smaller due to a pronounced positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. My findings suggest that strong persistence in fundamentals contributes to non-linearities in the equilibrium log prices of long-lived assets. (JEL Classification Code: G12). Keywords: equilibrium short rate, long-run risk, effective duration, stock pricing, perpetuity/consol pricing.
2024
Inglese
Sbuelz, A., Equilibrium asset pricing with short rate risk, <<DECISIONS IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE>>, Online first article; (Online first article): N/A-N/A. [doi:10.1007/s10203-024-00442-4] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/276977]
File in questo prodotto:
Non ci sono file associati a questo prodotto.

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10807/276977
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 0
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 0
social impact