The notion of identifiability has a long history in the statistical literature, with econo- metrics providing the first theoretical contributions. On the one hand, within the frequentist paradigm, identifiability represents a critical issue to tackle, closely tied to the feasibility of the model estimation. On the other hand, identifiability issues in the Bayesian frame- work could be overcome by complementing the non-identifiable likelihood with additional prior beliefs summarized via an informative prior distribution. Unfortunately, since esti- mation is still feasible, unidentifiabily may remain unnoticed and silently hinder posterior consistency. This contribution provides a tool to inspect whether the model specification is weakly identified. Our procedure is based on estimating the intrinsic dimension of posterior samples. The methodology is illustrated with a simulated example.
Di Noia, A., Denti, F., Mira, A., A tool for assessing weak identifiability of statistical models, in Book of the Short Papers SEAS IN 2023, (Ancona, 21-23 June 2023), Pearson, Ancona 2023: 1230-1234 [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/249475]
A tool for assessing weak identifiability of statistical models
Denti, Francesco
;
2023
Abstract
The notion of identifiability has a long history in the statistical literature, with econo- metrics providing the first theoretical contributions. On the one hand, within the frequentist paradigm, identifiability represents a critical issue to tackle, closely tied to the feasibility of the model estimation. On the other hand, identifiability issues in the Bayesian frame- work could be overcome by complementing the non-identifiable likelihood with additional prior beliefs summarized via an informative prior distribution. Unfortunately, since esti- mation is still feasible, unidentifiabily may remain unnoticed and silently hinder posterior consistency. This contribution provides a tool to inspect whether the model specification is weakly identified. Our procedure is based on estimating the intrinsic dimension of posterior samples. The methodology is illustrated with a simulated example.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.