We study the disorder problem for a time-homogeneous diffusion process. The aim is to determine an efficient detection strategy of the disorder time θ, at which the process changes its drift. We focus on the ϵ-linear and the expected total miss criteria, where, unlike the well known linear penalty criterion, the expected penalty for an early/wrong detection of θ is expressed as the frequency of false alarms launched at least ϵ units of time before θ and as the expected advance in the detection of θ, respectively. We show that the original optimal stopping problems can be reduced to a unifying optimal stopping problem; then, we derive the associated free-boundary problem and we provide sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of its solution.

Buonaguidi, B., The disorder problem for diffusion processes with the ε-linear and expected total miss criteria, <<STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS>>, 2022; 189 (N/A): N/A-N/A. [doi:10.1016/j.spl.2022.109548] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/228127]

The disorder problem for diffusion processes with the ε-linear and expected total miss criteria

Buonaguidi, Bruno
Primo
2022

Abstract

We study the disorder problem for a time-homogeneous diffusion process. The aim is to determine an efficient detection strategy of the disorder time θ, at which the process changes its drift. We focus on the ϵ-linear and the expected total miss criteria, where, unlike the well known linear penalty criterion, the expected penalty for an early/wrong detection of θ is expressed as the frequency of false alarms launched at least ϵ units of time before θ and as the expected advance in the detection of θ, respectively. We show that the original optimal stopping problems can be reduced to a unifying optimal stopping problem; then, we derive the associated free-boundary problem and we provide sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of its solution.
2022
Inglese
Buonaguidi, B., The disorder problem for diffusion processes with the ε-linear and expected total miss criteria, <<STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS>>, 2022; 189 (N/A): N/A-N/A. [doi:10.1016/j.spl.2022.109548] [https://hdl.handle.net/10807/228127]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10807/228127
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