COVID-19 has generated an unprecedented shock to the global economy causing both the decrease in demand and supply. The purpose of this paper is to simulate the effect of COVID-19 on firms' financial statements in Brescia. The shocked information is then fed into two machine learning bankruptcy models with the aim of providing an up-to-date picture of firms' economic health in one of the most prosperous industrial areas in Italy and Europe.
Bernardi, A., Bragoli, D., Fedreghini, D., Ganugi, T., Marseguerra, G., COVID-19 and firms’ financial health in Brescia: A simulation with Machine Learning, Working Paper N 21/1, DIPARTIMENTO DI MATEMATICA PER LE SCIENZE ECONOMICHE, FINANZIARIE ED ATTUARIALI, Vita e Pensiero, Milano, Milano 2021: 3-35 [http://hdl.handle.net/10807/173857]
COVID-19 and firms’ financial health in Brescia: A simulation with Machine Learning
Bragoli, Daniela
;Fedreghini, Davide;Ganugi, Tommaso;Marseguerra, Giovanni
2021
Abstract
COVID-19 has generated an unprecedented shock to the global economy causing both the decrease in demand and supply. The purpose of this paper is to simulate the effect of COVID-19 on firms' financial statements in Brescia. The shocked information is then fed into two machine learning bankruptcy models with the aim of providing an up-to-date picture of firms' economic health in one of the most prosperous industrial areas in Italy and Europe.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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