In this paper we estimate a model where inflation, a measure of de facto central bank independence and an index of de facto exchange rate regime are simultaneously determined by a set of economic, political and institutional variables. De facto central bank independence is hampered by socio-political turbulence and benefits from the balance of powers between the executive and the parliament. Inflation is explained by de facto central bank independence, by the level and volatility of public expenditure and by the de facto exchange rate regime. Openness (real and financial) affects inflation through the exchange rate regime channel. Success in controlling inflation, in turn is crucial to sustain central bank independence and exchange rate stability.

Carmignani, F., Colombo, E., Tirelli, P., Economic and Socio-Political Determinants of de Facto Monetary Institutions and Inflationary Outcomes, <<THE B.E. JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS>>, 2008; 8 (1): 1-18. [doi:10.2202/1935-1690.1591] [http://hdl.handle.net/10807/100228]

Economic and Socio-Political Determinants of de Facto Monetary Institutions and Inflationary Outcomes

Colombo, Emilio
Secondo
;
Tirelli, Patrizio
Ultimo
2008

Abstract

In this paper we estimate a model where inflation, a measure of de facto central bank independence and an index of de facto exchange rate regime are simultaneously determined by a set of economic, political and institutional variables. De facto central bank independence is hampered by socio-political turbulence and benefits from the balance of powers between the executive and the parliament. Inflation is explained by de facto central bank independence, by the level and volatility of public expenditure and by the de facto exchange rate regime. Openness (real and financial) affects inflation through the exchange rate regime channel. Success in controlling inflation, in turn is crucial to sustain central bank independence and exchange rate stability.
2008
Inglese
Carmignani, F., Colombo, E., Tirelli, P., Economic and Socio-Political Determinants of de Facto Monetary Institutions and Inflationary Outcomes, <<THE B.E. JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS>>, 2008; 8 (1): 1-18. [doi:10.2202/1935-1690.1591] [http://hdl.handle.net/10807/100228]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10807/100228
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